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Jon T. Meyer, CFP® | Chief Operating Officer and Investment Manager | BGM Wealth Partners
I have spent the pandemic learning that measurement is useful when cooking. I started using a scale more often for cooking, brewing coffee (I can make a mean pour-over), and baking. I found that the precision of a scale changed the taste of what I was making because weight is more accurate than a measuring cup or spoon.
Measurement in our financial lives is a bit more imprecise. But precision should not be the enemy of good. It is time for a midyear checkup to make sure you are on track and all is good, not precise.
Sometimes, benchmarks are important to know where you fall in comparison to others. I have written about markers you can use to get a feel for how your savings, savings rate, and debt ratios can help you make decisions in life. While benchmarks and markers have their place, a midyear review should be more specific to your personal situation. It should be a look back at what you have accomplished in the past six months to verify you are on track for what is to come in the next six months. Grab your tax return, retirement projections, and investment statements (portal nowadays) and come along for the journey of a midyear review.
A tax return is a compliance document. As such, you should review it now that the frenzy of tax season is over to verify that what you wanted to happen on it happened. In many years, this may seem redundant since you just filed the return a few months before, but our Bloomington, MN fiduciary financial planning firm sometimes finds errors on our clients’ returns.
Errors can include (this is not an exhaustive list):
These are just some of the errors that can occur. But these are also opportunities to consider whether any of these strategies could work for this year. The fall is a good time to consider tax planning on a look-forward basis.
With the above information in hand, it is good to review spending and return assumptions. The COVID pandemic has changed spending for many. At first, people spent less as they went into hibernation, but now it seems that people are spending normally, if not more. Thus, it is a good idea to look at spending and rerun retirement projections to verify that your spending and longevity assumptions still work. Inherent in this exercise is a rate-of-return assumption. The rate of return on a portfolio means little if it is not viewed considering a goal. It is fun to sit around a summer cabin campfire and talk about investing, but it is more comforting to know if that return gets you through retirement.
In running retirement projections, it is important to stress-test them by running different rates of return. Then, with those return numbers in mind, go look at your investment portal and see if your returns are holding up against those assumptions. The last year is going to generally look good. Ignore that. Look at the “Since Inception” number since that rate of return is longer term (assuming you have history there; longer term is 10 years or more in my mind). If your “Since Inception” return is holding up against projections, and those projections show you can live until 90 or 100 without running out of money, you can move on. But if your “Since Inception” return isn’t holding up against projections, you should dig deeper to understand why it isn’t (portfolio costs, the timing of trades, the economy we are in, etc.) or if you need to change your spending.
Spending is the one parameter you can control directly, and often we find that spending is an issue over a longer period—but that doesn’t mean you have to stop having fun immediately.
If you want to be more ambitious with your midyear checkup, here are a few other things to consider looking at:
A midyear checkup is personal. My list above is not all-encompassing since each of us has unique issues that should be reviewed. This is where a financial planner can be of great help, as they should be doing all of this for you and proactively reaching out when something needs to change on any of these issues.
If you have questions or would like to learn more, contact Jon Meyer at [email protected].
The opinion of the author is subject to change without notice and must be considered in conjunction with relevant regulation, as well as subsequent changes in the marketplace. Any information from outside resources has been deemed to be reliable but has not necessarily been verified. Each individual has unique circumstances to which this information may or may not be relevant. Under no circumstances will this information constitute an offer to buy or sell and it does not indicate strategy suitability for any particular investor.
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